Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 4.426361 4.964707 5.551092 6.238580 7.024210 7.895940 8.939151
2025-01-12 3.586735 4.290688 5.115428 6.158146 7.448488 9.002101 11.028209
2025-01-19 2.926621 3.667852 4.583594 5.807837 7.416255 9.477544 12.351712
2025-01-26 2.603894 3.391830 4.409337 5.835321 7.807198 10.474725 14.419738
2025-02-02 2.415354 3.253924 4.379660 6.024633 8.406050 11.789382 17.070948
2025-02-09 2.238077 3.104396 4.307375 6.131027 8.880837 12.963184 19.656795
2025-02-16 2.081372 2.963119 4.225137 6.202816 9.297500 14.081320 22.291518
2025-02-23 1.945973 2.836675 4.147217 6.264570 9.693682 15.198670 25.063226
2025-03-02 1.771549 2.634766 3.935090 6.091609 9.689331 15.658107 26.766995
2025-03-09 1.643227 2.491229 3.797753 6.019899 9.835418 16.372350 29.002207
2025-03-16 1.527583 2.357346 3.662783 5.935953 9.946056 17.028389 31.208737
2025-03-23 1.485473 2.336745 3.706737 6.154356 10.602276 18.726299 35.652288
2025-03-30 1.399147 2.239375 3.619640 6.143945 10.857695 19.738436 38.939180
2025-04-06 1.313402 2.136536 3.515080 6.092588 11.031802 20.617766 42.097954
2025-04-13 1.187910 1.957013 3.264660 5.752433 10.618044 20.286483 42.580498
2025-04-20 1.132967 1.895348 3.215551 5.780987 10.925724 21.450507 46.597787
2025-04-27 1.106322 1.881118 3.249225 5.968622 11.570873 23.397973 52.775371
2025-05-04 1.069633 1.845978 3.241534 6.073970 12.056458 25.062564 58.570570
2025-05-11 1.030968 1.804328 3.218159 6.145018 12.475694 26.631924 64.415144
2025-05-18 0.993797 1.762749 3.191467 6.206124 12.878773 28.215341 70.596819
2025-05-25 0.931422 1.669647 3.058914 6.034989 12.744241 28.507803 73.307334
2025-06-01 0.885433 1.604886 2.977138 5.964034 12.829875 29.343486 77.705853
2025-06-08 0.841389 1.541186 2.893118 5.880970 12.878285 30.092300 81.997575